Few companies have ever dominated their era as much as Microsoft (NSDQ: MSFT) did in the 1990s. The flannel-shirted computer programmer remains an iconic symbol of that era's business world, just as much as men in dark suits walking into the General Motors building represent the 1950s.
But have the times passed Microsoft by? We keep hearing about the death of the personal computer, which has been the scene of Microsoft's greatest triumphs. Apple, which once trailed its Seattle-based competitor badly, is now the visionary in the industry, and is now the world's most valuable publicly traded company.
But reports of the death of the PC may have been premature. Younger consumers have been switching over to various mobile devices at a steady rate, but businesses and older consumers continue to provide a substantial ready-made market for Microsoft software. The rate of decline in personal computer sales is projected to flatten out for the remainder of 2014, noticeably less than its recent rate of around 10% annually.
Perhaps more importantly, the company seems to have awakened from its slumber regarding what it saw as small market tech, and is getting very serious about the future of mobile and cloud computing.
With the dominance the company has in PC production -- all of those PCs will require operating systems in order to run - and the number of units being sold projected at almost 300 million units, this leaves Microsoft considerable resources to retool with.
Ironically, Microsoft crossed over from a pure software company to begin manufacturing their own Tablets, and with the purchase of Nokia will start making their own smartphones to boot.
Microsoft, on the other hand, has a different competitive market they need to navigate. As Google recedes from the smartphone market with their sale of technology and patents to Lenovo, the market is already set to shift.
What about cloud computing? Microsoft has entered into that market behind the leaders but has the cash flow to develop products that can generate even larger future revenues.
The technological requirements for cloud are going to grow from the current server-based architectures in the marketplace. The cloud marketplace is growing from the infrastructure which exists in businesses today. The upshot being that public clouds will not dominate the marketplace anytime soon.
All businesses today have tremendous investments in their current infrastructure. They will not simply dump those investments and move into a public cloud. The customization of their own software prohibits a dump-and-move dynamic in the marketplace for cloud. Rather, we will see a gradual shift for businesses from customized infrastructure into more flexible server architectures, which will produce more private clouds and increase hybrid clouds that companies will leverage to reduce cost and provide greater virtualization of their existing infrastructure.
On Oct. 23, Microsoft announced revenue of $23.20 billion for the quarter ended September 30, 2014. Gross margin, operating income and earnings per share for the quarter were $14.93 billion, $5.84 billion and $0.54 per share, respectively. Devices and Consumer revenue grew 47% to $10.96 billion.
"We are innovating faster, engaging more deeply across the industry, and putting our customers at the center of everything we do, all of which positions Microsoft for future growth,"said Satya Nadella, chief executive officer of Microsoft. "Our teams are delivering on our core focus of reinventing productivity and creating platforms that empower every individual and organization."
"We delivered a strong start to the year, with continued cloud momentum and meaningful progress across our device businesses," said Amy Hood, executive vice president and chief financial officer of Microsoft. "We will continue to invest in high-growth opportunities and drive efficiencies across the organization to deliver long-term shareholder value."
Interestingly enough, the gradual migration into private clouds is providing both Microsoft the market opportunity to again rise as a dominant force. The technologies which clouds require to scale and remain stable plays into the company's strengths compared to the new competitors in this space.
One distinct possibility would be for us Intel and Microsoft to team up to develop designs which the smaller firms do not have the reach and resources to accomplish.
"Customers are embracing our latest technologies from Surface Pro 3 and Office 365 to Azure and SQL Server," said Kevin Turner, chief operating officer of Microsoft. "Through great execution by our sales teams and our partners, we have been able to deliver our truly differentiated value to the marketplace."
For all its strengths, Microsoft has a price-earnings ratio of just 19 -- a bargain. The company is worth buying up to 54.
Tom Scarlett is an investment analyst with Personal Finance.
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