Friday, October 10, 2014


The Secret to Australian Wealth

Australians are the richest people on the planet – with 43,274 new millionaires last year alone. Their median wealth is $219,505. That's 5 times higher than the U.S. and growing 13% a year. What's their secret? Here are 5 opportunities Australians are using to get rich.

Details here.

Cleaning Up the Mess

Benjamin Shepherd

Two events have been dominating the news over the past few days -- the return of market volatility and fears about the Ebola virus.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average swung more than 200 points each day from October 7th to October 10th, the most volatile period for the index since August 2011. Since those swings don't seem to be driven by any particular news, it's likely that investors were just taking some profits made in the historic bull market. That makes sense considering slowing global growth and the expectation that the Fed will boost interest rates next year.

The Ebola news is far more frightening, though that should not have a direct impact on the markets. There have been 14 confirmed cases outside of West Africa and the first known patient in the US, aside from the aid workers and doctors brought back from Africa for treatment, passed away on October 8th. In response, U.S. authorities have begun screening airline passengers from the affected region at five of America's largest airports, hoping to catch any suspected cases upon entry to the country.

So what does market volatility and Ebola have in common? Not much, unless you're talking about Stericycle (NSDQ: SRCL).

Stericycle is the largest provider of regulated medical waste management services, meaning it collects the medical waste from hospitals and doctor's offices and safely disposes of it. It also offers risk management services, compliance training and has been steadily expanding internationally. It is estimated that the company controls about 16% of the $15.5 billion medical waste market.

Given the plethora of regulations concerning the disposal of medical waste, a growing number of health care providers are increasingly opting to outsource that responsibility. That's helped fuel steady growth for Stericycle, which has seen revenues growing an average of 16.8% over the past decade. Those revenues are also extremely predictable since the company's services are provided on a contract basis.

Another added advantage is that in good times or in bad, during a recession or a bull market, Stericycle's revenue and earnings still grow. Bacteria and viruses have no idea if the economy is growing or not and, even if they did, I don't think they would care. So people are always getting sick, trying to manage chronic illnesses such as diabetes or having accidents. That's a good thing for Stericycle, since there's always going to be medical waste.

Given how predictable its business is, Stericycle has a beta of just 0.32 compared to the S&P 500. That's basically shorthand for every time the index moves by 1%, you can expect Stericycle's shares to move just 0.32%. So while the S&P 500 is down by 2.6% over the past week, shares of Stericycle are actually up 0.72%.

The Ebola connection here is that last week, the US Department of Transportation granted the company a special permit, giving it the exclusive right to transport any all Ebola-related waste in Texas through the end of next month. As you'll recall, the Ebola patient who recently died was in a Dallas hospital. While Ebola-related waste -- hopefully -- won't move the needle for the company's revenue or earnings, that fact that it is the only company currently permitted to handle it is indicative of its size and expertise.

While the company won't report third quarter earnings for another two weeks, in the second quarter of this year revenue was up 21.7% to $640.8 million, while earnings per share rose 7% to $0.95. Analysts expect full-year revenue to come in at $4.24, year-over-year growth of 19.1%. That's expected to slow somewhat in 2015, with the average forecast looked for a better 12% bump to $4.76, with average earnings growth of about 14.6% over the following five years.

While Ebola won't be fueling that growth, the aging US population which requires an ever growing volume of medical care will only drive larger volumes of medical waste. At the same time, the company's international presence, it has operations in 11 foreign countries, has grown to the point that revenue from operations outside of the US have been growing by more than 25% annually for the past several years.

Acquisitions could also help drive future growth since the US medical waste market is still highly fragmented, with a number of regional operators and some hospitals which still incinerate their own waste. As the regulatory environment becomes more complex, smaller operators will have an increasingly difficult time remaining in compliance while still turning a profit, leaving the ripe for a takeover.

A low-volatility company helping to ensure that an Ebola outbreak doesn't happen here in the US, Stericycle is a great buy up to $135.


$6,833 a month by trading this way

It's a trading strategy surging among the over-50 crowd. Why is this new style of investing so popular? It's less risky than buying a stock. Recent actual payouts have been $5,500… $9,970… even $13,100 – just to name a few. Payouts happen every month. It takes just 9 minutes a week. Since April of 2011, a certain group of Boomers has averaged $6,833 a month trading this way. You can, too. Why not take 5 minutes to check it out?

Details here.

Disrupting the Disruptors

Richard Stavros

Although many experts have predicted the demise of the power utilities industry as a result of renewable energy, the actual level of investment thus far in these potentially disruptive technologies suggests the incumbents still hold the advantage.

That was my take after listening to Brian Bolster, a lead banker in Goldman Sachs' Clean Technology and Renewables Group, who was speaking at a recent energy and emerging market conference I attended at Georgetown University in early October.

Bolster told the audience that capital markets are currently shunning energy technologies such as battery storage because they involve too much technology risk and require too much capital.

A significant part of the reason venture investors are steering clear of these areas is that they've been burned before. And those painful memories are still fresh in their minds.

"The venture capital community has changed dramatically. If you have technology risk and big capital risk, you have problems today," Bolster observed.

Since the bankruptcy of battery maker A123 Systems, for instance, many investors have simply avoided the sector altogether. And makers of electric vehicles and second-generation fuels have also had difficulty finding funding.

The funding problem is further compounded by the fact that Silicon Valley venture capitalists do not necessarily invest on a scale suited to a capital-intensive industry such as the power space.

Venture investors typically invest anywhere from $10 million to $50 million in a promising technology project. But battery plants can require as much as $200 million to $300 million.

Bolster said the key question is who will provide the growth capital for these larger projects.

And this question goes to the heart of claims that the utilities industry is in danger of being displaced. If truly disruptive technologies such as utility-scale battery storage are not receiving adequate funding, then they won't be able to challenge utility incumbency in a meaningful way anytime soon.

At the same time, there is no direct correlation between the amount of dollars invested in new technologies and resulting innovation. But Bolster contends that to the extent the development of these new technologies remains dependent on venture capital, the funds will have to become much bigger.

2014-10-09-U&I-Chart A

Source: CleanTechnica

Even though venture investors are currently falling short, at least some utilities are already investing in developing utility-scale batteries to get ahead of the possible disruption.

Meanwhile, Elon Musk, founder of the electric car manufacturer Tesla Motors, is building a gigafactory to make batteries that might one day turn electric cars into dual-use batteries for power storage.

And California has started an ambitious new program to incentivize the development of utility-scale energy storage alternatives.

But without more capital from venture investors, how likely will such innovation be widespread and enduring?

To be sure, renewables and cheap natural gas are changing the way utilities do business, but they won't necessarily displace them. In fact, utilities are already adopting renewables, building natural gas plants, and even buying shale resources in response to changing market dynamics.

But storage technology is in a different category altogether: It's a potential utility industry killer.

Emerging technologies in this area could make possible distributed applications that would allow individuals, even cities, to be completely independent from large, centralized power systems. That's why monitoring the level of investment going into storage technology is extremely important.

Whether this disruption is desirable from an investor standpoint really depends on what might replace the industry as an investment. That's the big question energy executives and investors alike have been asking, and we have explored it in past.

Beyond the potential of energy storage, other important questions are being asked, such as whether utilities will be displaced by software providers. For instance, Google is already exploring the possibility of bringing utility services and information together digitally.

Or should utility executives fear rooftop solar companies, or some completely different industry?

If we follow the money, we can get some idea of what the future might have in store. Bolster said the top-three areas attracting the highest interest in the energy space right now are:

  1. Yield companies, or YieldCos, which aggregate high-quality income-producing energy assets.
  2. Elon Musk and his companies have become their own energy investment category.
  3. Rooftop solar.

But the banker reminded us that capital markets are usually followers, not leaders, so it will take time to see which technologies ultimately prove successful in the marketplace and what that portends for the utilities industry.

This article originally appeared in the Utility & Income column. Never miss an issue. Sign up to receive Utility & Income by email.


The Future for Utility Investors

A new energy distribution model is about to turn traditional utility companies upside down. This change will be as profound as when the Internet disrupted postal service forever. Snail mail is now obsolete. If you have utilities in your portfolio, you might want to take a moment to read this.

Click here.

Making Your Most Important Decision

Selecting the executor of your estate or a trustee is one of the most important decisions in estate planning. We're going to discuss the factors in that decision. To keep this simple, I'm going to assume we're talking about selecting a trustee, but the factors are the same whether you are considering a trustee or an executor.

Your first focus should be on whether your trustee should be a professional (usually a bank or trust company) or an individual. Whichever you select, consider ways you can structure the trustee's duties and relationships to increase the probability of achieving your estate planning goals. You'll find that you might not have to choose between a professional trustee and an individual but might select both and have them share duties in some way. Here are some strategies to consider.

Try co-trustees. Professional trustees and individual trustees have their own sets of advantages and disadvantages. You might be able to capture most of the advantages and minimize the disadvantages by naming co-trustees. There are different ways to structure a co-trusteeship.

The trust company might be the primary trustee, handling records, administration, and investments. A trusted friend or family member as co-trustee has access to all the records, reviews them, and tries to catch problems when they are small. You could give the non-professional co-trustee veto power over fees, investment decisions, and other key actions.

When the trustee has discretion over the timing and amount of distributions, that is the most likely source of problems, discord, and disagreement. One option is to give the non-professional trustee sole authority over distributions. Another is to have multiple co-trustees decide the distributions and perhaps require unanimity before a distribution is made. These are only a few ideas. You can structure things however you believe will work best, though you might have trouble finding a professional trustee to accept too many limits on its role.

Split trustee duties. Another way to get the best of both worlds without some of the complications of co-trustees is to split trustee duties. You could have several trustees, with each responsible for a different function. Or you can have one trustee who hires professionals to perform some of the duties. There are many ways to split duties.

There are three main areas over which the trustee duties can be divided: administration, asset management, and distributions. You could choose a corporate trustee to keep the records, prepare the tax returns, and hold custody of the assets. An investment manager could serve as co-trustee handling only the investment decisions. A friend, family member, or professional advisor could be a third co-trustee who decides how much to distribute and makes any other decisions. In some trusts, the first two sets of duties are handled by one professional trustee and a non-professional decides on distributions and other matters. Or you could have multiple trustees perform one of the functions together. For example, distributions often are a source of conflict. You could name two or three family members, friends, or advisors to be a committee of co-trustees and have to agree on all decisions.

Perhaps the simplest approach to splitting trustee duties is to name one or more individuals as co-trustees and specifically empower them, and perhaps encourage them, to hire professionals under them for administration, tax reporting, and investing. In this case, the professionals technically wouldn't be trustees. They'd be hired by the trustee. The person appointed trustee would be responsible for determining and making distributions and any other matters.

Provide for removal. Things change. This is especially true of banks and trust companies. There are numerous mergers and acquisitions. It's not unusual for a trust to be administered by a firm very different from the one that originally was named trustee, though it is a legal successor to the original firm. Also, an individual trustee you liked and really were naming could move on to another firm or another role in the same firm, leaving the trust in the hands of someone who knows about you and your family only through the file. The new trustee could be located hundreds of miles further away. Those examples are for professional trustees, but of course individual trustees have many potential changes. For these and other situations, you want to have a process for removing or changing a trustee.

The beneficiaries will be the continuing players in a trust, and have the greatest stake in good trusteeship. So, you might want to create circumstances in which beneficiaries could change the trustee.

Until 1995, the tax law generally killed the tax benefits of many trusts if a trustee could be removed by beneficiaries. Now, that no longer is a concern.

Though tricky, it probably is essential to let a beneficiary or all beneficiaries acting together remove the trustee and hire a new one. Otherwise, when they aren't happy with some aspect of the trust management their only option is to go to court, and that means the trustee can use trust funds to defend itself.

The trick is that you set up the trust and named a non-beneficiary as trustee to keep the beneficiaries from being able to do whatever they want with the money. You don't want them trustee shopping to get their way. So, put limits on trustee removal. Say that it can be done no more than every five years. Or say the beneficiaries can remove a trustee, but a group of non-beneficiaries selects a new one so it isn't completely in the hands of the beneficiaries. Talk with your estate planner about options.

Try a protector. This is a concept borrowed from some foreign trusts and is becoming more popular in domestic trusts. A protector is not a trustee. But he watches the trustee's work. He has access to and reviews all records and actions. The protector can move the trust to another trust company or make other key changes. Usually, complaints from the protector about high fees or other problems are enough to get things fixed. This strategy is not available in all states. It is worth considering if your state recognizes a protector. A protector might not be necessary if you name co-trustees or provide that beneficiaries can remove the trustee.

Successor selection. Be sure the trust agreement states how a successor trustee will be selected. This is especially important if individuals are named trustees. Work with your estate planner to decide how a successor will be selected in case a trustee is removed or is unable to continue performing and who will do the selection.

Limit fees. Standard trust agreements say that the trustee may charge its published rates, whatever they are. You can limit the fees in your agreement. (Of course, not every trust company will accept the assignment in that case.) Instead of a specific fee limit in the trust agreement, you can set up an approval process. Have a co-trustee, protector, or other person or committee empowered to negotiate and approve fees.

Cautions about living trusts. In a state with high probate costs or a cumbersome probate process, a living trust to avoid probate for most assets is a good idea. But the living trust can create expensive problems of its own.

Most often the creator or creators of a living trust are the trustees. But what about successors? If the trust agreement names a responsible family member or friend of the family, there probably won't be a problem. But suppose the creators decide the trust needs professional management after them. Then, all the problems described earlier can occur. There could be high fees, poor investment performance, and other wealth destroying actions.

A living trust does not get the judicial supervision that an estate does. Without a properly written trust and careful attention to the successor trustees, your loved ones could receive much less wealth than you anticipated.

The lesson is that though set up to avoid probate, the trust lives on, for at least a while. Even if the trust will liquidate and distribute assets quickly after the original trustees pass, a successor trustee could do damage. Pay attention to the long-term implications of the trust. Consider all the trustee clauses and selection techniques already described.

Write a letter. You can't foresee everything when writing a trust agreement, and not everything you want can be put in a trust agreement. So a trustee is likely to have some discretion managing the trust and making distributions. To provide some guidance and leave a record of your intentions, write a letter outlining your goals and the actions you would prefer the trustee to take in certain circumstances.

Talk to people. One reason trusts cause problems is the law in most states still doesn't provide for beneficiaries to see the trust agreement, automatically have access to records, and other rights.

The beneficiaries should understand the trust terms. That will help them quickly spot if the trustee is not doing what you expected.

Talking also will let the beneficiaries know why you are leaving the property in trust instead of giving it to them directly. Trust law litigators will tell you that most court cases have their origins in hurt feelings and surprises. If wealth is to be left for loved ones in a trust, they should know that ahead of time and be told why.

Consider mediation. In a number of states, your trust can include a clause requiring all disputes be submitted to mediation or arbitration. This should be faster and cheaper than litigation. If your state allows, consider adding such a clause to your trust.

Require extra reporting. Basic trust law doesn't require beneficiaries to be told much. In fact, in a traditional trust the trustees aren't accountable to or reviewed by anyone. It can be a hassle for anyone to obtain the basic records of trust activity.

Consider specific reporting requirements in the trust agreement. Perhaps you want regular reports (which can be simply copies of bank and investment account statements) sent to adult beneficiaries and guardians of minor beneficiaries. You also could have reports sent to knowledgeable outsiders, such as your estate planning attorney, accountant, or key family members. Reports should be made annually at a minimum, and probably less comprehensive but more frequent reports would be better.


Warren Buffett's In

While Obama dithers over the Keystone pipeline… over the exporting of natural gas… over U.S. production of our own "evil" oil and gas resources, our economy stays paralyzed.

Up north, Canada's prime minister shares none of Obama's agonies. Mr. Harper's too busy selling his country's abundant energy to the rest of the world – for an incredible profit.

Warren Buffett's in. He just invested a half-billion in the Canadian company that opened up the Alberta oil sands. Maybe it's the rich double-digit yields that attracted Buffett, or the potential for triple-digit gains that he likes.

We have six more companies about to surge on Canada's energy boom. Don't dither like Obama. Take advantage of this amazing profit opportunity now.

Click here.

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